LSU (6-6) and Kansas State (7-5) travel to NRG Stadium to battle it out in the 2022 Texas Bowl on Tuesday evening. LSU won two games in a row to end its regular season and gain bowl eligibility. The Tigers upset No. 25 Texas A&M 27-24 in their last matchup. Kansas State is looking to end its season on a high note after dropping two straight regular-season games. The Wildcats are expected to have quarterback Skylar Thompson (ankle) back in the lineup for this one. LSU, meanwhile, is expected to be without dozens of scholarship players for various reasons, and the Tigers will likely be using quarterbacks who haven’t thrown a pass all season.
Kickoff is at 9 p.m. ET from NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Wildcats as seven-point favorites. That’s up a full touchdown from the opening Texas Bowl line. The over-under for total points is set at 47.5. Before finalizing any Kansas State vs. LSU picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the final week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-31 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on LSU vs. Kansas State and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s college football picks. Here are several college football odds and betting trends for Kansas State vs. LSU:
- LSU vs. Kansas State spread: Kansas State -7
- LSU vs. Kansas State over-under: 47.5 points
- LSU vs. Kansas State money line: Kansas State -300, LSU +240
- LSU: The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. Big 12 opponents
- KSU: The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite
Featured Game | Kansas State Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers
Why Kansas State can cover
Kansas State had a top-five defense in the Big 12. The Wildcats finished the regular season fourth in scoring (21.1), total defense (348), run defense (126.3), and pass defense (221.7). The Wildcats have a solid duo in the middle of this unit. Junior linebacker Daniel Green is first on the squad in total stops (83), second in tackles for loss (14), along with three sacks.
Green has recorded at least six total tackles in three straight games. In his last outing against Texas, Green logged a season-high 10 total tackles with 1.5 tackles for loss. Senior linebacker Cody Fletcher is second on the team with 69 total tackles while securing seven tackles for loss. The Texas native is looking to have his fourth straight game with at least five total stops with a tackle for loss.
Why LSU can cover
The roster is missing a lot of key pieces, but there will still be talent on the field. Junior safety Jay Ward has played well in the back for LSU’s defense. He is third on the team in total tackles (60) and first in interceptions (2). The Georgia native has logged at least six total stops in seven games. Ward’s best game came in a loss to Auburn, a game in which he with 11 total tackles.
Senior linebacker Micah Baskerville has also been solid for the Tigers’ defense. He is second on the squad with 83 total stops, while logging three pass deflections. Baskerville has tallied at least nine total tackles in four games thus far. Plus, Kansas State is just 2-6 in its last eight games against an opponent from the SEC.
How to make Kansas State vs. LSU picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 45 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Kansas State vs. LSU picks at SportsLine.
So who wins LSU vs. Kansas State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.